Fair-Tan
0x43cb4ae1f4ddc9e671486c79c9f40a6fd98b84df
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$11.0K
Total PnL
$-248.3K
Realised
$-18.8K
Win rate
35%
109 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 73.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.1K
$2.6K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 26.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.9K
$-2.6K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
39781 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-44.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
39587 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
38021 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-508.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
37440 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-328.61
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
37430 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.1K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
37430 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.5K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
29329 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.6K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
28810 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-183.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 2?$1.887h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 2?$3.468h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?$0.018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 2?$0.198h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?$0.018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 2?$0.198h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?$0.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 2?$0.198h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?$0.018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 2?$0.078h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?$0.018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?$0.018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?$0.018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 2?$0.198h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?$0.018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?$0.088h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?$0.018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?$0.018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?$0.018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?$0.018h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10h ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 109 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".