Wallet digest

active

Activity score

58/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$4.92

Total PnL

$-266.79

Realised

$-0.10

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 38

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026
$4.92
$2.12
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
279 shares @ 66.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026
$0.00
$-185.03
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
10 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026
$0.00
$-4.40
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
9 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026
$0.00
$-2.47
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
5 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026
$0.00
$-0.15
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026
$0.00
$-2.35
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026
$0.00
$-2.25
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026
$0.00
$-2.45
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026
$0.00
$-2.20
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026
$0.00
$-0.05

Recent activity

MAKER_REBATE$2.74Jan 19, 00:09 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$5.00Jan 18, 17:36 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$64.60Jan 18, 17:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$2.85Jan 18, 17:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.69Jan 18, 17:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.46Jan 18, 17:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.64Jan 18, 17:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.16Jan 18, 17:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.15Jan 18, 17:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.60Jan 18, 17:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.52Jan 18, 17:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$2.05Jan 18, 17:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.17Jan 18, 17:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$2.10Jan 18, 17:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$2.15Jan 18, 17:12 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$2.25Jan 18, 17:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$3.75Jan 18, 17:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$3.40Jan 18, 17:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.50Jan 18, 17:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.25Jan 18, 17:10 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry92 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk69 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 46
Avg trade size: $2.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 18, 16:59 UTC
Last active: Jan 19, 00:09 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:58:35 UTC·src:Polymarket Data