Sparkling-Instinct
0x43d9b12b9b6bef2734d12e3182792fefa5a53278
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$61.00
Total PnL
$0.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
21 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$21.00
$0.13
- NO
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
21 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$21.00
$0.04
- NO
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
19 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$19.00
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$20.87Apr 8, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$18.94Mar 6, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$20.96Mar 6, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$22.00Mar 6, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$28.33Mar 6, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$50.00Mar 6, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$36.42Mar 3, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$49.95Feb 25, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.00Feb 25, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.50Feb 9, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Feb 9, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?$13.00Feb 9, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?$27.33Feb 9, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$9.91Feb 3, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?$12.36Feb 3, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$21.78Feb 3, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$28.05Feb 3, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?$27.30Feb 3, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$19.87Feb 2, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$23.44Feb 2, 04:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $23.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 10:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.