Scared-Intention
0x43dbc0339165dfd9c8f84654e8601b44a7064e62
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$20.53
Total PnL
$-7.41
Realised
$-0.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.53
$0.53
- YES
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?
10 shares @ 47.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$10.00
$5.25
- YES
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?
20 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?
15 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.03
- NO
Will Trump sue the BBC?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10–15%?
10 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$5.00Nov 13, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sue the BBC?$5.00Nov 13, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$10.00Nov 6, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$5.00Nov 3, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?$4.30Nov 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?$1.03Nov 2, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?$4.60Nov 2, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 10–15%?$3.70Nov 2, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$3.70Nov 2, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$2.75Nov 2, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?$4.90Nov 2, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Obama endorse Mamdani?$3.00Nov 2, 06:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $4.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 06:14 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.