Angelic-Taste
0x43e2a6169dba4e6f85218918d919dfe59482c592
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$4.07
Total PnL
$-217.50
Realised
$-6.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
171 shares @ 11.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.83
$-17.17
- YES
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
310 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.24
$-27.84
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
6980 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
2040 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5$83.87Jul 14, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30, 2027?$83.79Jul 14, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30, 2027?$81.00Jul 13, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$6.59Jul 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$43.90Jul 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$11.32Jul 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$47.61Jul 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$100.89Jul 10, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-09?$179.69Jul 9, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$112.32Jul 9, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$121.62Jul 7, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$100.78Jul 7, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$23.80Jul 5, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$45.50Jul 5, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$11.63Jul 5, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$23.80Jul 5, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$48.86Jul 5, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?$48.92Jul 5, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$2.02Jun 17, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?$1.03Jun 17, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $40.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 20:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 19:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.