Polite-Moment
0x43e30485726b2f6c01e25a9f778bb08de5e343f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$669.99
$-10.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
3800 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$665.00
$-19.00
- UNDER
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5
1000 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$575.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
8000 shares @ 6.2¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$492.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?
2900 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$478.50
$-14.50
- QATAR
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
1000 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$395.00
$-5.00
- OVER
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5
1000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$165.00
$-5.00
- UNDER
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5
500 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$122.50
$-2.50
- OVER
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5
36 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$3.79
$0.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
10163 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.7K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5$0.11Jun 13, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5$174.23Jun 13, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win on 2026-06-13?$505.28Jun 13, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5$3.59Jun 13, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$516.40Jun 13, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$407.20Jun 13, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$397.46Jun 13, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$98.54Jun 13, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5$127.81Jun 13, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5$587.31Jun 13, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.0KJun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5$4.52Jun 13, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$7.19Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5$15.29Jun 12, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5$5.33Jun 12, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5$1.78Jun 12, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5$18.24Jun 12, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5$67.93Jun 12, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$487.49Jun 12, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$487.49Jun 12, 11:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $160.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 12:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.