Tired-Macrame
0x43e786411f71428b7c56ed4770291398199a7ae3
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$40.94
Total PnL
$-87.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
352 shares @ 21.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.02
$-51.98
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
100 shares @ 37.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.50
$-23.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.42
$-4.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
2276 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Jan 20, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$10.00Jan 20, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2AM ET$1.00Jan 20, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$45.00Jan 20, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$37.00Jan 20, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$5.00Jan 20, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$29.00Jan 20, 07:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $18.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 07:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 08:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".