Vague-Concrete
0x43e98f912cd6ddadaad88d3297e78c0648e688e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$2.5K
Realised
$2.2K
Win rate
92%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
221555 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.4K
$62.04
- YES
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
109859 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$604.23
$45.37
- YES
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
101624 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$558.93
$39.84
- YES
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
97156 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$534.36
$27.69
- YES
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
96423 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$530.33
$28.06
- YES
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
88004 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$484.02
$44.00
- YES
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
85946 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$386.75
$29.14
- YES
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?
76560 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$344.52
$-53.06
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
60934 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$213.27
$30.47
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$150.00
$50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$0.04Jun 13, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$0.03Jun 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$0.03Jun 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$0.24Jun 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 20:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.