Gigantic-Login
0x43ec0691b48d44685b6886f6919fac4590754612
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$16.10
Total PnL
$-675.04
Realised
$20.01
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
35 shares @ 46.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.10
$0.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?
1000 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-216.01
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
383 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- NO
Brown and MIT shooters confirmed to be same person?
250 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
250 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-124.00
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on November 7 2025?
200 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on November 7 2025?
150 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-22.72
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?
50 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.99
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
34 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$16.10Jul 25, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.00Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.60Jul 18, 21:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.23Jul 15, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.88Jul 15, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?$22.10Jul 15, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.53Jun 10, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 9, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?$33.75May 29, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$0.54May 18, 20:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.72May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.35May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$22.00May 17, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$42.45May 17, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.20May 17, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.35May 17, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $15.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 12:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 14:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.