Raw-Abacus
0x43ff5ae58c770f149aa23922f71064c81704ed02
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$9.28
Total PnL
$-1.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.62
$1.62
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.91
$-0.09
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.41
$0.01
- YES
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.34
$0.02
- YES
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
9 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$2.04May 19, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.40May 9, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.00Apr 22, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.11Apr 17, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$4.87Apr 15, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.10Apr 15, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$1.32Apr 7, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$3.20Mar 31, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.17Mar 25, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.15Mar 24, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$4.80Mar 18, 08:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $3.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 07:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".