Apprehensive-Farm
0x4405d9517174931d40754dfd586412079a940002
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$180.00
Total PnL
$-524.73
Realised
$16.64
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$100.00
$0.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?
80 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$80.00
$0.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
3009 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-35.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
485 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-68.48
- YES
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?
346 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-127.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
175 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-70.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
154 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-33.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
135 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-42.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?$79.85May 13, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?$99.91May 13, 05:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.58Apr 11, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$200.00Apr 10, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$799.98Apr 10, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$16.00Apr 10, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$32.00Apr 10, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.83Apr 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$5.44Apr 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$6.21Apr 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$10.52Apr 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$29.50Apr 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.50Apr 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$21.43Apr 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.52Apr 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$3.00Apr 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$3.05Apr 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$100.00Apr 10, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$83.10Apr 10, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$53.00Apr 10, 05:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $14.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 05:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".