Immediate-Symptom
0x440657804d44e9d2707e21ab9391335c2888c664
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$14.72
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
6000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
3313 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
2205 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
1943 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)$294.19May 9, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)$257.17May 9, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$258.71May 9, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.14May 9, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$3.17May 9, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$272.64May 9, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBased FDV above $50M one day after launch?$206.10Mar 31, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $50M one day after launch?$204.87Mar 30, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$159.49Feb 23, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC end in a draw?$159.49Feb 23, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC end in a draw?$156.46Feb 23, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?$156.46Feb 23, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?$125.54Feb 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?$2.76Feb 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?$122.79Feb 23, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?$122.79Feb 23, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 23?$122.78Feb 23, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 23?$119.58Feb 23, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.10 February 16-22?$119.58Feb 23, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.10 February 16-22?$119.10Feb 21, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $64.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".