Embarrassed-Oval
0x44202a597d93c768eb6f72dcb38050af816eea24
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$1.0K
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
100%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
13126 shares @ 5.8¢·now 3.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$479.09
$-281.93
- YES
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
5906 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$209.08
$-3.90
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
8815 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$188.64
$-37.51
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2210 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$131.49
$14.82
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3525 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$61.69
$2.04
- YES
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
6996 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$59.46
$-2.95
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2774 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$56.87
$10.30
- YES
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
12466 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.63
$6.23
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1300 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.20
$0.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1210 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.64
$-1.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00Jun 14, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Jun 14, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Jun 14, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Jun 14, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00Jun 14, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.00Jun 14, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$11.29Jun 14, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.08Jun 14, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$15.11Jun 14, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.21Jun 14, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.75Jun 14, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.63Jun 14, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$7.46Jun 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.11Jun 14, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.03Jun 14, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.03Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.06Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.04Jun 14, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.06Jun 14, 15:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 07:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 19:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.