Jam-Packed-Mound
0x4422cc79626e85683fe5fc2850e6e5d61b1974dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-636.81
Realised
$8.17
Win rate
12%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
555 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-26.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
180 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-36.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
130 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-57.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
70 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-33.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
60 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-18.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
60 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-27.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
50 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-24.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
50 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
40 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-16.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
40 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$4.00Jul 21, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$5.17Jul 21, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$10.00Jul 21, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$5.70Jul 21, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.19Jul 21, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.31Jul 21, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.50Jul 21, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$4.40Jul 21, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.27Jul 21, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.45Jul 21, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$7.00Jul 20, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$4.20Jul 20, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.50Jul 20, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$4.30Jul 20, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$3.72Jul 20, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$2.17Jul 20, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$4.48Jul 20, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.52Jul 20, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$3.50Jul 20, 09:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
12% win rate over 43 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
43 closed markets, 12% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 06:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 09:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.