Scented-Archrival
0x44271b0a358a536d2314e4a940f280b039b5cb0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$268.41
Total PnL
$0.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C or below on June 30?$138.01Jun 28, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 27?$130.01May 26, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$255.51Apr 1, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$132.26Mar 31, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$132.00Mar 20, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$255.00Mar 20, 04:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 18, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$671.58Mar 17, 17:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Mar 17, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$672.27Mar 16, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or below on March 15?$117.12Mar 15, 15:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Mar 15, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$597.79Mar 15, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or below on March 15?$117.00Mar 14, 18:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 14, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C or below on March 13?$51.10Mar 13, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$598.39Mar 13, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C or below on March 13?$107.11Mar 13, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C or below on March 13?$51.00Mar 12, 04:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 12, 00:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $355.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 16:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.