Starry-Ketchup
0x4429290dd547385935a17e24f9ec5ca094c603c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$19.89
Total PnL
$-506.29
Realised
$-13.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.00
$-1.00
- YES
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
255 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.89
$-9.11
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
1782 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
1394 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.95
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
571 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
563 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-117.56
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
458 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-99.95
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by February 28?
289 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
118 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$39.92Feb 18, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$77.64Feb 18, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$20.00Feb 10, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$19.44Feb 10, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$17.00Jan 22, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHenry Cavill announced as next James Bond?$10.00Jan 22, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$20.00Jan 22, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by February 28?$10.00Jan 22, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$20.00Jan 22, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$50.00Jan 22, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$3.00Jan 22, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$27.95Jan 20, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLHenry Cavill announced as next James Bond?$6.86Jan 20, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$20.00Nov 21, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$20.00Nov 21, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$12.00Oct 28, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Stagflation" during October press conference?$10.00Oct 28, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?$20.00Oct 28, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$42.24Oct 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$39.95Oct 18, 14:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $28.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 3, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 17:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.