Easy-Going-Police
0x442e3b1b718eb15265c5967270789024041253d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-686.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
200000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$300.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
61247 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$275.61
$-24.32
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
108678 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$271.70
$-28.15
- YES
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
150000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$225.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
150000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$225.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
144805 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$217.21
$-72.40
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
33333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.33
$33.37
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4135 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$119.93
$19.93
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
8199 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.99
$-18.00
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.83
$-29.17
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.53Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.66Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$79.27Jul 20, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$304.06Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$314.97Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$9.73Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$314.97Jul 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$13.37Jul 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$25.78Jul 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$380.80Jul 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$142.32Jul 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$16.88Jul 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$15.27Jul 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.78Jul 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$32.64Jul 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.00Jul 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$93.07Jul 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$299.82Jul 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$15.11Jul 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$104.98Jul 20, 00:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $911.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.