Practical-Mailing
0x443c93e52462ad41b18d924c9fa9a7c1a5985fe1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-689.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 2?
1008 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-40.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 26?
504 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-204.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5?
215 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-32.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 24?
150 shares @ 93.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-140.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?
122 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-71.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on May 2?
118 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 3?
115 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 5?
105 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 3?
100 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on May 2?
100 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 18?$38.17Jun 18, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 18?$308.87Jun 18, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 18?$61.84Jun 18, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?$8.74Jun 18, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?$7.96Jun 18, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 18?$37.37Jun 18, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 18?$37.84Jun 18, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 18?$38.85Jun 18, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 18?$46.62Jun 18, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 18?$60.07Jun 18, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 18?$176.75Jun 18, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 16?$72.25Jun 16, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 16?$70.78Jun 16, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 15?$244.84Jun 15, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15?$101.33Jun 15, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 15?$570.00Jun 15, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 15?$31.96Jun 15, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on June 15?$50.00Jun 15, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$1.64Jun 15, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$1.01Jun 15, 17:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $64.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 21:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.