Nervous-Barn
0x44414e18204d31a51bc4040a49d0c70309ee4bb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$57.55
Total PnL
$-130.29
Realised
$2.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2025$14.71
$9.71
- LAKERS
Clippers vs. Lakers
14 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2025$14.00
$8.68
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$9.43
$4.43
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2025$9.26
$4.26
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 19.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.01
$1.53
- YES
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
2 shares @ 46.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$2.14
$1.14
- YES
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?
300 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
278 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
246 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?
238 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$5.00Apr 15, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$4.99Apr 5, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$6.48Apr 5, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 8?$2.20Feb 8, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 8?$0.30Feb 8, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 8?$2.26Feb 7, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 8?$1.00Feb 7, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 8?$1.00Feb 7, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$30.00Jan 10, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$30.00Jan 10, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?$7.40May 11, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$7.49May 5, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$1.10Apr 8, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?$5.00Mar 5, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?$5.00Mar 5, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-03-05?$5.00Mar 5, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$10.20Mar 5, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?$5.00Mar 4, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?$10.50Mar 4, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's 538 approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on March 7?$0.94Mar 3, 22:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 19:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 11:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".