Sandy-Outside
0x444449ef54a7f73a13e0a510e347ab66a0591925
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
182
Open notional
$3.74
Total PnL
$-257.42
Realised
$0.06
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 182- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.94
$-8.06
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
33 shares @ 17.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.79
$-4.02
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 12?
2130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on March 12?
2090 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 13?
1185 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- AB3 ESPORTS
Valorant: AB3 Esports vs Chivas Esports - Map 2 Winner
1170 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 13?
1085 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 13?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on March 12?
1060 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 11PM ET
1060 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 13?$0.11Mar 13, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 13?$0.40Mar 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 9 above $440?$0.15Mar 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 13?$0.30Mar 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: 6Targets Esports vs Kqrma esports - Game 2 Winner$0.30Mar 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?$0.25Mar 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on March 13?$0.92Mar 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Blood in Game 2?$0.01Mar 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?$0.03Mar 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?$0.03Mar 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?$0.03Mar 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?$0.03Mar 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?$0.03Mar 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?$0.03Mar 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?$0.03Mar 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?$0.03Mar 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 13?$2.00Mar 13, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on March 13?$4.96Mar 13, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 13?$0.23Mar 13, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 13?$0.03Mar 13, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 03:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.