Favorite-Raisin
0x4449b53a99dcf4875b35e509d4d424bb34c9f5e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
27/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-983.13
Realised
$-410.00
Win rate
0%
161 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
155 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
112 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
112 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
98 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- UP
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
56 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
56 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
51 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET
51 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-42.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMVancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontama AND Vancouver: Moyuka Uchijima vs Miho Kuramochi$10.00Jul 29, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMVancouver: Benjamin Bonzi vs Blaise Bicknell AND Vancouver: Moyuka Uchijima vs Miho Kuramochi$10.00Jul 29, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMVancouver: Hayu Kinoshita vs Kyoka Okamura AND Vancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontama$20.00Jul 29, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLVancouver: Hayu Kinoshita vs Kyoka Okamura AND Vancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontama$0.27Jul 28, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMSan Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvili AND San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle$10.00Jul 28, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMBonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena AND Targu Mures: Margaux Rouvroy vs Lola Radivojevic$10.00Jul 28, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMBonn: Elmer Moeller vs Marko Topo AND Bonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena$10.00Jul 28, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMTargu Mures: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Dalila Spiteri AND Targu Mures: Margaux Rouvroy vs Lola Radivojevic$10.00Jul 28, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMTargu Mures: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Dalila Spiteri AND Targu Mures: Miriana Tona vs Lucia Bronzetti$280.00Jul 28, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMBonn: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Niels McDonald AND Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Shunsuke Nakagawa$10.00Jul 28, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMBonn: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Niels McDonald AND Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Marko Topo$10.00Jul 28, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMSamsun: Denis Yevseyev vs Tuncay Duran AND Bonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena$10.00Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMSamsun: Denis Yevseyev vs Tuncay Duran AND Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Shunsuke Nakagawa$10.00Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBonn: Elmer Moeller vs Marko Topo AND Samsun: Togan Tokac vs Semen Pankin$10.00Jul 28, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMTargu Mures: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Dalila Spiteri AND Targu Mures: Miriana Tona vs Lucia Bronzetti$10.00Jul 28, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLTargu Mures: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Dalila Spiteri AND Targu Mures: Margaux Rouvroy vs Lola Radivojevic$0.33Jul 28, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLTargu Mures: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Dalila Spiteri AND Targu Mures: Miriana Tona vs Lucia Bronzetti$20.29Jul 28, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLTargu Mures: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Dalila Spiteri AND Targu Mures: Miriana Tona vs Lucia Bronzetti$20.29Jul 28, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLTargu Mures: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Dalila Spiteri AND Targu Mures: Miriana Tona vs Lucia Bronzetti$4.28Jul 28, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLTargu Mures: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Dalila Spiteri AND Targu Mures: Miriana Tona vs Lucia Bronzetti$20.29Jul 28, 08:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 161 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
161 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $10.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 01:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 161 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.