Frayed-Panther
0x4449e07331499508620dbb347c6ac0c85e902b88
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.41
Total PnL
$-20.05
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.41
$-0.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Reiwa Shinsengumi hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 480 and 499 times September 5–12?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between August 4 and August 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.54May 14, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.96May 8, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 480 and 499 times September 5–12?$1.05Sep 12, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200K in July?$10.00Jul 31, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next reconciliation bill be passed between August 4 and August 10?$1.00Jul 3, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMMets vs. Pirates$0.00Jul 2, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMTwins vs. Tigers$0.00Jul 2, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150K in June?$0.00Jul 2, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill another company be the largest in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?$0.00Jul 2, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump jail Hillary Clinton?$10.34Jul 2, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?$1.00Jun 27, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?$1.00Jun 27, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reiwa Shinsengumi hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$4.00Jun 27, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump jail Hillary Clinton?$10.33Jun 27, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump jail Hillary Clinton?$1.00Jun 27, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?$2.00Jun 27, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$1.00Jun 27, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?$3.00Jun 27, 17:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $3.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 17:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 23:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".