Flawless-Fool
0x444cc4040268cdd802ff7120fd4ba8f73b7ed440
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
179
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-419.72
Realised
$368.03
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 179- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$849.50
$349.50
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$150.50
$-349.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 14?
20 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$19.54
$-0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on March 26?
1120 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-14.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on March 27?
1100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on March 26?
1023 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-13.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on March 27?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on March 25?
866 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on April 3?
710 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 14?$19.60Jun 14, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 12?$20.00Jun 13, 08:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or below on June 11?$20.00Jun 11, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 12?$19.62Jun 11, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 10?$20.00Jun 11, 04:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or below on June 11?$19.22Jun 9, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 10?$19.62Jun 9, 16:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on June 7?$10.00Jun 8, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on June 7?$15.00Jun 8, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on June 7?$10.47Jun 8, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 7?$20.00Jun 8, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 7?$20.00Jun 8, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 7?$20.00Jun 8, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 7?$8.00Jun 8, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $16.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 04:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.