Grand-Plane
0x44516a68d2f154a713870278e53a109eaf3655a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$6.00
Total PnL
$0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?$5.99May 31, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$12.00May 31, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$11.94Apr 13, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA dip to $116 in March?$5.55Apr 13, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?$6.00Apr 13, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA reach $280 in March?$10.04Apr 13, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$11.00Apr 13, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$21.00Apr 13, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?$5.99Mar 31, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$5.99Mar 30, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harka Sampang be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$6.12Mar 30, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA dip to $116 in March?$5.54Mar 30, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$14.98Mar 30, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $280 in March?$10.03Mar 30, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.97Mar 23, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$5.00Mar 23, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$600.76Mar 22, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$5.00Mar 22, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$601.37Mar 22, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 10?$5.00Mar 22, 13:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $314.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 10:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 15:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.