Crazy-Basis
0x4457c6d2dea713f2ea5371e19182cf00e932e7b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$2.53
Total PnL
$-502.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
52 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.53
$0.44
- YES
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
3155 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-44.15
- YES
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
2284 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-245.94
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
1075 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
707 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-42.31
- YES
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
700 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-95.00
- YES
Will the US strike Colombia next?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mamdani say "Subway" or "Transit" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
408 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.15Jun 6, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLTom Holland announced as next James Bond?$0.06Jun 6, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLJacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?$0.64Jun 6, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLHarris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?$1.47Jun 6, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$119.88Mar 16, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.80Mar 15, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$30.00Mar 15, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Mar 15, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$30.00Mar 15, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.37Mar 15, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$32.91Mar 15, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$65.00Mar 15, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$8.45Mar 14, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$40.00Mar 14, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$8.57Mar 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$30.00Mar 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$9.69Mar 12, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLRussian strike on a NATO member by March 31?$0.41Mar 12, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$0.34Mar 12, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$1.25Mar 12, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $10.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 23:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 16:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.