Costly-Overcoat
0x445e4827f2edf68534defd311fcebd55657a4426
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$34.88
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-22.30
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
18 shares @ 13.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.00
$15.56
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
130 shares @ 3.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.13
$0.88
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 11.1¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.19
$1.41
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
110 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.79
$0.70
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 6.3¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.14
$-0.38
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.72
$-0.23
- YES
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 4.1¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.47
$-0.76
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
70 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.84
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
40 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.06
$-4.14
- YES
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
25 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.04
$-0.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.00May 21, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$5.00May 21, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$5.00May 21, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$5.00May 21, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$21.23May 21, 15:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".