That-Essence
0x4464a4c209fd4e119a7ea65c6c708fd5d399dbff
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.99
Total PnL
$-14.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
7 shares @ 40.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.81
$-1.79
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?
65 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.27
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Illegal" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
44 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
9 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$1.59Feb 8, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" during the State of the Union address?$1.00Jan 26, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Jan 26, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?$1.00Jan 26, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?$1.00Jan 26, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Maduro" or "Dictator" during oil executive meetings on Friday?$1.43Jan 10, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Venezuela" 7+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?$1.67Jan 10, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?$2.00Jan 10, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Illegal" during oil executive meetings on Friday?$1.01Jan 9, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during oil executive meetings on Friday?$1.00Jan 9, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?$1.00Jan 9, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2025 be the second hottest year on record?$1.00Jan 9, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEx-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?$1.00Jan 9, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2025 be the second hottest year on record?$0.27Jan 9, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Venezuela" 7+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?$1.00Jan 9, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Maduro" or "Dictator" during oil executive meetings on Friday?$1.00Jan 9, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?$1.00Jan 9, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.60Jan 9, 11:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 11:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 22:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".