Polite-Crepe
0x446ef994fc4cb084e1041c83df893704fec13042
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$3.36
Total PnL
$-257.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.36
$-16.64
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
3200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.40
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1818 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say the N-word during Israel President events on December 29?
1205 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-24.07
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $112,000 November 10-16?
846 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Uniswap Labs win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bungee win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
346 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will SEED Latam win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will ENS win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
161 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-18.00
- ISLANDERS
Capitals vs. Islanders
65 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jan 6, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say the N-word during Israel President events on December 29?$24.07Dec 29, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.56Dec 29, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?$17.62Dec 18, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$20.00Dec 17, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Islanders$5.85Nov 30, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Nov 30, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati vs. TCU$20.00Nov 29, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLCanadiens vs. Golden Knights$24.58Nov 28, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego State vs. New Mexico$20.00Nov 28, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFlames vs. Panthers$28.13Nov 28, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLKings vs. Ducks$38.00Nov 28, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoise State vs. Utah State$46.47Nov 28, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlames vs. Panthers$20.00Nov 28, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBears vs. Eagles$32.33Nov 28, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Golden Knights$20.00Nov 28, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Ducks$20.00Nov 28, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBears vs. Eagles$20.00Nov 28, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$20.00Nov 28, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$6.40Nov 17, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $19.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 13:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.