Devoted-Underestimate
0x4470a4ac8f1a70da1aeeb0f6d91cabdcd998a871
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$3.80
Total PnL
$-354.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.33
$-1.67
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
63 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.47
$-24.53
- NO
ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
146 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?
128 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
77 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-39.38
- NO
ChatGPT Outage by February 21, 2026?
72 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- SAM PATTERSON
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?$9.27Jun 1, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?$20.52Jun 1, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?$4.12Jun 1, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?$5.15Jun 1, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)$20.00Mar 21, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$5.00Mar 7, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.00Mar 7, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$25.00Mar 4, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$20.00Feb 28, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$20.00Feb 27, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicki Minaj attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$12.76Feb 25, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Feb 24, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Feb 24, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.00Feb 24, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$2.35Feb 23, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$17.99Feb 23, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$10.00Feb 23, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$1.00Feb 23, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$10.00Feb 22, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $9.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 00:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 03:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.