Nervous-Pelican
0x4471c61270273ff4e38509b1e7f3ade8ff7dc068
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$302.33
Total PnL
$-0.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on May 29?
267 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 29, 2026$266.28
$-0.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on May 29?
35 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 29, 2026$35.03
$-0.02
- NO
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on May 29?$267.02May 28, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on May 29?$35.05May 28, 08:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Apr 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$689.14Apr 2, 19:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Apr 2, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$689.84Apr 1, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on March 26?$170.34Mar 26, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on March 26?$170.00Mar 25, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 82°F or higher on March 22?$100.20Mar 23, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 23?$110.22Mar 23, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 23?$110.00Mar 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 82°F or higher on March 22?$100.00Mar 21, 16:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Mar 21, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$586.48Mar 20, 22:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 20, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$587.07Mar 19, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$877.64Mar 19, 02:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Mar 19, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$878.53Mar 18, 03:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Mar 18, 00:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $406.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 11:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".