Mammoth-Influx
0x447d6d3879253915df0e4aa1c48b0a38f019cea4
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$125.86
Total PnL
$-0.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
33 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.82
$0.61
- NO
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
30 shares @ 97.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.00
$-0.31
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
25 shares @ 91.9¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.16
$0.19
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?
21 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$20.88
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$15.00
$0.03
- NO
Will Solana dip to $70 in January?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?
360 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-0.36
- YES
Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?
280 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-0.28
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$0.97Jan 31, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$0.53Jan 31, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$22.98Jan 31, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$1.50Jan 31, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?$14.97Jan 31, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?$20.86Jan 31, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in January?$5.00Jan 31, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out by June 30?$32.21Jan 31, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela become 51st state?$29.31Jan 31, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMTether insolvent in 2025?$15.00Jan 31, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$15.06Jan 31, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$18.00Jan 31, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?$25.00Jan 31, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$26.00Jan 31, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out before October?$26.00Jan 31, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTether insolvent in 2025?$5.55Sep 10, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTether insolvent in 2025?$2.70Sep 8, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before October?$25.69Sep 8, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTether insolvent in 2025?$1.73Sep 8, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTether insolvent in 2025?$1.86Sep 8, 08:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $11.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.