Circular-Contrary
0x447f5165d2843d8665a77cb800735f5389d57035
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4PM ET
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
30 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
10 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7AM ET
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?
8 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$17.76Mar 3, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$20.00Feb 22, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$6.97Feb 22, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 16-22?$27.12Feb 22, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?$2.56Feb 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?$4.37Feb 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?$5.00Feb 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?$5.00Feb 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 16-22?$16.00Feb 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.04Feb 16, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.00Feb 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.10Feb 16, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.00Feb 16, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$5.41Feb 3, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.00Feb 3, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?$2.00Feb 3, 12:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $6.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 03:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".