Ambitious-Carol
0x447fdc24a8f5d0465a4a399f1bbd6383f65a0a35
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
176
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-846.18
Realised
$-36.95
Win rate
18%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 176- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
20147 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-299.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
57 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
11 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
11 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
10 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.41
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.00Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.00Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.00Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$25.86Jun 12, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$25.61Jun 12, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$103.09Jun 12, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$100.21Jun 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$59.41Jun 12, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$50.99Jun 12, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$55.73Jun 12, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$50.83Jun 12, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$140.69Jun 12, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$51.19Jun 12, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$50.80Jun 12, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$413.88Jun 12, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$27.62Jun 8, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$25.48Jun 8, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$2.08Jun 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$98.85Jun 7, 23:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 44 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
44 closed markets, 18% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $97.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 23:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.