0x44814de77aca911c16b40e18a7cedde2604b6ec6
0x44814de77aca911c16b40e18a7cedde2604b6ec6
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$5.40
Total PnL
$-11.82
Realised
$-1.50
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.63
$0.33
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.40
$0.10
- NO
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- NO
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.11
$0.10
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
111 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
28 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.42
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
6 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
6 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by October 31?$2.24Nov 1, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?$0.00Nov 1, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?$0.00Nov 1, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMChuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?$1.01Nov 1, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) say "Diner" during earnings call?$1.03Nov 1, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?$3.58Nov 1, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 23-26?$3.80Nov 1, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?$0.00Nov 1, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 15–20%?$0.00Nov 1, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?$0.00Nov 1, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?$1.00Oct 22, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Drone war" in October?$0.00Oct 22, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) say "Diner" during earnings call?$1.00Oct 22, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$2.40Oct 22, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMTrump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?$2.02Oct 22, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by December 15? $1.00Oct 22, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Drone war" in October?$1.00Oct 22, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$1.00Oct 22, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?$1.00Oct 22, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$3.00Oct 22, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 1, 16:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.