Warm-Press
0x4483a1fdb8fb5967dbdba2869c61fca4f96b61d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$92.18
Total PnL
$-7.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
92 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$92.18
$0.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on January 22?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- BULLS
Bulls vs. Hornets
7 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$92.01Jun 7, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$92.09Jun 7, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$92.00Jun 3, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?$92.09Jun 3, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?$92.01May 31, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?$92.09May 31, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?$92.01May 28, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$92.09May 28, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$92.00May 24, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$92.09May 24, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$92.00May 17, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$91.55May 17, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$91.00May 14, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?$91.09May 14, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?$91.01May 12, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$91.09May 12, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$91.00May 8, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?$91.34May 8, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?$91.26May 3, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00May 3, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $56.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 08:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.