Half-Circumference
0x44841790450db633ad74dbeef0d56f9895cf7cea
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.98
Total PnL
$-26.63
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 21?
4290 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.77
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 11?
4227 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-14.79
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 26?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Feb 2, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.00Feb 2, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$1.01Feb 2, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.00Feb 2, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.00Jan 31, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 30, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 29, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$4.99Jan 27, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$6.00Jan 27, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 26?$1.05Jan 26, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELL1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?$4.88Jan 25, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?$5.87Jan 25, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 21?$0.54Jan 21, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 21?$0.51Jan 21, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$4.97Jan 21, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 21?$3.15Jan 21, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 21?$3.15Jan 21, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 21?$0.27Jan 21, 04:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $322.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 11:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 11:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.