Scary-Belief
0x4485b13e2a4ce7993a797b02b5e468507d5a3fa4
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
41 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
31 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
20 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto strike out the most batters while pitching at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$2.22Mar 16, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shohei Ohtani win MVP at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$0.03Mar 16, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Soto hit the most hits at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$0.09Mar 16, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristopher Sánchez strike out the most batters while pitching at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$0.11Mar 14, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$3.00Mar 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shohei Ohtani win MVP at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$5.00Mar 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Soto hit the most hits at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$3.00Mar 2, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristopher Sánchez strike out the most batters while pitching at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$3.00Mar 2, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoshinobu Yamamoto strike out the most batters while pitching at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$3.00Mar 2, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$3.00Feb 25, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?$2.00Feb 8, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?$2.39Feb 8, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?$3.12Feb 8, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$2.57Feb 8, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$2.50Feb 8, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$3.50Feb 8, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$3.00Feb 8, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$3.00Feb 8, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$6.00Feb 8, 16:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $2.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 02:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.