Subdued-Contrary
0x448713dc6902357e7161ae99562a6556474b9979
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-3.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1111 shares @ 50.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$852.69
$297.19
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1111 shares @ 50.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$258.31
$-297.19
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$4.00
$1.04
- NO
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- YES
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Solana above $145 on March 14?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- SPLITWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.1KJun 4, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)$3.00Apr 10, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$1.00Apr 10, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$2.00Apr 10, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?$706.13Apr 10, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?$3.00Apr 4, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?$707.00Apr 4, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$8.03Apr 4, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$112.01Apr 4, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$7.99Dec 10, 18:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $122.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 10:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.