Careless-Punishment
0x4487183a5ff1b8e53c58999e875b14a054951ec1
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-127.0K
Realised
$-317.30
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- TRAIL BLAZERS
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers
78611 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-6.5K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on January 12?
73445 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-73.45
- YES
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
64412 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-398.90
- PANTHERS
Rams vs. Panthers
53081 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.1K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 13?
52698 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-187.03
- FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners
51688 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- MIAMI
Miami vs. Indiana
50000 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.5K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 23?
42861 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-17.2K
- YES
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?
40000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-220.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 2?
34811 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-259.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6?$0.00Feb 8, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6?$35.58Feb 6, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 5?$598.50Feb 4, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 5?$13.01Feb 4, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 6?$13.93Feb 4, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$0.60Feb 2, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$134.40Feb 2, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$1.00Feb 2, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$25.50Feb 2, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$178.57Feb 2, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$163.60Feb 2, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$0.75Feb 2, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 2?$238.54Feb 2, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 2?$6.12Feb 2, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 3?$5.34Feb 2, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 3?$3.19Feb 2, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 3?$9.45Feb 2, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$6.45Feb 2, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$253.53Feb 2, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$1.67Feb 2, 12:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $107.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 01:12 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".