Cumbersome-Burnout
0x448c97858538f37398bc292ab9c5a6ae345aa830
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$43.27
Total PnL
$-71.50
Realised
$-14.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$30.77
$10.77
- YES
Canada election called before April?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$12.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
346 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-25.58
- NO
Trump and Biden debate before Election?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024?
242 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Trudeau out before April?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Trudeau out in 2024?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrudeau out before April?$10.00Dec 20, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada election called before April?$10.00Dec 20, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau out in 2024?$5.00Dec 20, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?$20.00Dec 20, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024?$10.00Dec 20, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$1.67Jul 29, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$162.34Jul 29, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$25.53Jul 6, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$10.23Jul 6, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$87.00Jul 6, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Biden debate before Election?$20.00Jun 14, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$50.00Jun 14, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$10.00Jun 14, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$50.00Jun 14, 00:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $33.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:48 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 20, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.