Naughty-Vanilla
0x448cd3585b87472cf95e1237332b0be7b72795c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-323.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 28?
216 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 28?
206 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 22?
187 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 13?
175 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.25
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 30?
172 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 22, 3PM ET
161 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 28?
143 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?
142 shares @ 96.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-136.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 12?
119 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.29
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 8?
111 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 4?$41.49Jun 4, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 4?$40.45Jun 3, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 28?$2.43May 28, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 25?$49.28May 25, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 25?$47.80May 24, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?$2.00May 19, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17?$49.77May 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 18?$3.47May 17, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17?$8.93May 16, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17?$27.26May 16, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17?$10.59May 16, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$1.67May 8, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 14?$45.85May 7, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 28?$2.31Apr 27, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 6?$0.00Apr 27, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 3?$0.00Apr 18, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 14?$44.02Apr 13, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 29?$46.51Apr 11, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 8?$0.00Mar 31, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $160 on December 3?$0.00Mar 30, 01:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $20.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".