Short-Blowgun
0x448d5718d7a7eff323826fb7ddde0747dc6d0908
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$60.21
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.06
$0.06
- YES
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of March 16 above $700?$1.00Mar 17, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 16 above $50?$1.00Mar 17, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 16 above $150?$1.00Mar 17, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$1.00Mar 17, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by March 21?$1.00Mar 17, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.00Mar 17, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.00Mar 17, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $2 in March?$1.00Mar 17, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $12 in March?$1.00Mar 17, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $10 in March?$5.00Mar 17, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.20 in March?$2.00Mar 17, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?$1.00Mar 17, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?$5.00Mar 17, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$20.00Mar 17, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $63.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 17:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".