Minor-Chick
0x4495f5a5f60b48180ee3a52fcbe14034415da252
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$2.39
Total PnL
$-359.75
Realised
$-3.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.34
$1.34
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2025
741 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-223.79
- YES
GTA VI released in 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?
223 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?
155 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?
145 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?
145 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2025$223.79Dec 11, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?$1.00Dec 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla acquire xAI in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta announce Instagram sale in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release AirTag 2 this year?$1.00Dec 11, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?$1.00Dec 11, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by December 31?$1.00Dec 11, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a token in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYX relaunches Vine in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Dec 11, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYX relaunches Vine in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by December 31?$1.00Dec 11, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlas global browser market share 3%+ on December 31?$1.00Dec 11, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 20:26 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 22:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".