0x4497d24f4239b7d9af3bdb7f4656cdfcba20c823
0x4497d24f4239b7d9af3bdb7f4656cdfcba20c823
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.16
Total PnL
$-96.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on April 17?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$3.16
$0.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17?
414 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-61.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on April 17?
198 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-12.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 18?
65 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17?
51 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 18?
39 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 17?
35 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on April 17?
19 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 17?
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 18?$1.75Apr 17, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17?$0.98Apr 17, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?$2.63Apr 17, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?$1.92Apr 17, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?$2.55Apr 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?$2.55Apr 17, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17?$2.55Apr 17, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17?$2.55Apr 17, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 17?$2.55Apr 17, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 17?$2.55Apr 17, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 18?$2.55Apr 17, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?$6.21Apr 17, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?$2.55Apr 17, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on April 17?$2.55Apr 17, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on April 17?$2.55Apr 17, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on April 17?$2.55Apr 17, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 17?$2.55Apr 17, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 17?$2.55Apr 17, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on April 17?$2.55Apr 17, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?$2.55Apr 17, 16:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 04:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.