Ambitious-Orator
0x4498b90e5eff40a4d0e8af5ed17b16681f56f092
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-450.09
Realised
$-6.81
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
1100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- CRASHERS
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Back to Back - Map 1 Winner
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- CRASHERS
Map Handicap: CRASH (-1.5) vs Back to Back (+1.5)
912 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 14?
336 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or higher on May 14?
205 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 14?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 14?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 14?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
180 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 14?
145 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 14?$0.00May 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 14?$0.81May 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 14?$0.02May 13, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 14?$0.43May 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 14?$0.08May 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or higher on May 14?$0.06May 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 14?$0.30May 13, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 14?$0.15May 13, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or higher on May 14?$0.32May 13, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 14?$0.03May 13, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or higher on May 14?$0.15May 13, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 14?$0.46May 13, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 14?$0.50May 13, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 14?$0.32May 13, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 14?$0.05May 13, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 14?$0.20May 13, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 14?$0.32May 13, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 14?$0.04May 13, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 14?$0.03May 13, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 14?$0.85May 13, 09:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 18:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".