Incredible-Specialty
0x449afbe28177330fad88a57e0ecde072fe6623ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$21.61
Total PnL
$-156.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$21.61
$11.89
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
962 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 9?
332 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
81 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 9?
39 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?
27 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
21 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.61
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
10 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 9?$43.39Apr 10, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 9?$5.00Apr 9, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 9?$5.00Apr 9, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 9?$5.00Apr 9, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$10.00Apr 9, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$10.00Apr 9, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.15Dec 12, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 27-30?$50.25Dec 12, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$4.01Oct 30, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.00Oct 30, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 27-30?$50.00Oct 30, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.02Oct 30, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Oct 28, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 28, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$25.00Oct 27, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$100.00Sep 6, 00:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $19.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 6, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 07:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.