Lasting-Escalator
0x449b807ee89635fe35bcba20180036676f973ff7
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$119.31
Total PnL
$0.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on May 31?
37 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.11
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on April 22?
37 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$37.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 12?
31 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$31.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on May 31?$37.01May 30, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on April 22?$37.00Apr 21, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 12?$31.00Apr 11, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$41.04Apr 6, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?$6.04Apr 1, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$41.00Apr 1, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$40.40Apr 1, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C on March 28?$42.08Mar 28, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C on March 28?$42.00Mar 26, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 25?$47.12Mar 25, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 25?$47.00Mar 23, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be 63°F or below on March 18?$39.04Mar 18, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 63°F or below on March 18?$39.00Mar 18, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$40.00Mar 12, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?$6.00Mar 8, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$13.00Mar 3, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 27?$1.00Feb 27, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $353.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".