Male-Cartoon
0x449d7e9640a84d63f0a22e797c05c1f0e680100c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.13
Total PnL
$-415.69
Realised
$-83.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
16 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.13
$-1.87
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
22491 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-210.15
- YES
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
6083 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
5238 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
1623 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1133 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
954 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-11.45
- NO
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?
500 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$2.00Apr 7, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$10.00Mar 21, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$10.00Mar 7, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$1.45Mar 7, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Feb 19, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 17, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$3.20Feb 17, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?$20.00Feb 17, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$5.00Feb 17, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$5.00Feb 17, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?$17.00Feb 8, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?$17.81Feb 8, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.17Feb 7, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?$100.93Feb 7, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$185.00Feb 7, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.00Feb 7, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$20.00Feb 1, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$0.16Feb 1, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$26.10Feb 1, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$6.00Jan 28, 19:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $23.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 03:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 01:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.