Sugary-Reward
0x449d95bac384f44134ed3eafa7c47fb6f173dd62
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$19.27
Total PnL
$3.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
6 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.06
$0.26
- BULLS
Spread: Thunder (-20.5)
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$5.74
$2.64
- YES
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$4.95
$0.45
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$2.53
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-20.5)$3.10Mar 27, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$5.80Jan 31, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$4.50Jan 31, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.50Jan 31, 06:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $3.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 06:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 14:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".