Favorable-Embarrassment
0x44a161015f935754728d5eada9c395bef4d87790
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
100
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-567.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 18?
7471 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 9?
4750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 19?
4500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 30?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 21?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 13?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26?
2990 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 7?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26?$2.99Mar 26, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 25?$1.00Mar 25, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 25?$1.00Mar 25, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24?$1.00Mar 24, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24?$1.00Mar 24, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 23?$1.00Mar 23, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 23?$1.00Mar 23, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 18?$1.00Mar 18, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17?$1.92Mar 17, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17?$1.00Mar 17, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17?$1.00Mar 17, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17?$1.00Mar 17, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 17?$1.00Mar 17, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16?$1.00Mar 16, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16?$1.00Mar 16, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16?$1.00Mar 16, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16?$1.00Mar 16, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16?$1.00Mar 16, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 9?$2.72Feb 9, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 9?$3.00Feb 9, 13:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 07:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 12:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".